NFL Championship Sunday: Picks Favor Home Teams, As Packers And Colts Cannot Beat Seahawks Or Patriots

NFL Championship Sunday is here, with just two games remaining to determine the Super Bowl XLIX matchup in Glendale, Arizona in two weeks. In the NFC Championship Game, the defending champion Seattle Seahawks will play host to the Green Bay Packers in a Week 1 rematch dominated by the home team. Following that contest, the New England Patriots will welcome the Indianapolis Colts to Foxboro to fight it out for the AFC Championship. As has been the case throughout most of the 2015 NFL Playoffs, the home teams are heavy favorites. The Seahawks are favored by 8 points over the Packers, while the Patriots check in as a 7 point favorite over the Colts. While the Colts proved to the Denver Broncos last Sunday that home teams are not infallible, I see no chance of either road team pulling off the upset on Championship Sunday.

In regular season matchups in 2014, the Seahawks ran away from the Packers. The Patriots ran all over the Colts, both literally and figuratively. Just ask the Colts about the name Jonas Gray. Now, a lot has happened since those games, but one thing remains the same.

Seattle and New England are both very difficult to defeat at home.

Can the Packers cover the spread against the Seahawks? Sure. It is certainly conceivable. But, if you ask me whether or not Green Bay can actually beat Seattle, my answer is a fairly solid no.

That is even more so the case with the Patriots. The Baltimore Ravens kept last week’s matchup with the Pats a lot closer than I expected. I felt that New England would have easily covered the spread against Baltimore, when in truth, they were fortunate to simply escape with a win. I feel the same this week. I like the Patriots to win big, but, in the worst case scenario, I see New England at least emerging victorious, despite the point difference in the end.

Ultimately, I’ll go out on a limb and pick the Seahawks to defeat the Packers by a final score of 30-20, while the Patriots will take out the Colts, 34-23. Seattle and New England will march on to Super Bowl 49 in two weeks. I’ll provide coverage throughout the next 14 days leading right up to kickoff, including game previews, picks, predictions and prop bets.

 

About the author

Rob Kelley is a sports reporter for various newspapers in Florida, and is trying to break back into the sports writing game after a brief hiatus following the publishing of his first book, I'm Not a Quitter. He recently resigned as Editor-in-Chief and lead writer for The South Shore Magazine to pursue better opportunities. You can follow him on Twitter @RobKelley24.